Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.643662 1.981794 2.393123 2.937309 3.648982 4.563326 5.852546e+00
2024-12-15 1.191911 1.596721 2.163358 3.043628 4.434006 6.655628 1.073278e+01
2024-12-22 0.908451 1.301208 1.903780 2.949828 4.848936 8.459616 1.682057e+01
2024-12-29 0.771226 1.166222 1.820035 3.069307 5.643739 11.440248 2.866016e+01
2025-01-05 0.662961 1.045118 1.716332 3.102366 6.282121 14.620291 4.635799e+01
2025-01-12 0.568440 0.924591 1.579051 3.015260 6.610756 17.359013 6.907483e+01
2025-01-19 0.499395 0.834761 1.476104 2.963034 7.001530 20.729940 1.057974e+02
2025-01-26 0.468631 0.808806 1.490872 3.181467 8.269441 28.801328 2.151497e+02
2025-02-02 0.437302 0.775646 1.482369 3.340979 9.489177 38.856111 4.523259e+02
2025-02-09 0.399522 0.723216 1.420488 3.339680 10.183327 47.865295 8.686973e+02
2025-02-16 0.362340 0.666470 1.337751 3.254275 10.525188 55.817711 1.595975e+03
2025-02-23 0.338760 0.634959 1.307943 3.316215 11.544186 71.794704 4.265165e+03
2025-03-02 0.321886 0.616310 1.307693 3.479556 13.237212 101.208575 2.226383e+04
2025-03-09 0.300548 0.584990 1.270307 3.512568 14.376634 132.041385 1.898249e+05
2025-03-16 0.274994 0.540902 1.192235 3.380602 14.531800 152.059721 2.668869e+06
2025-03-23 0.262757 0.525958 1.188768 3.518527 16.483215 220.404485 NaN
2025-03-30 0.248166 0.503598 1.161037 3.556951 17.895374 298.560936 NaN
2025-04-06 0.230532 0.471935 1.102064 3.453193 18.223034 356.247407 NaN
2025-04-13 0.215977 0.446257 1.056390 3.391129 18.856599 443.282764 NaN
2025-04-20 0.211739 0.445515 1.083408 3.650877 22.624418 812.533252 NaN
2025-04-27 0.205616 0.439280 1.092949 3.841111 26.245023 1465.857747 NaN
2025-05-04 0.195422 0.421469 1.063745 3.839561 27.967251 2168.994405 NaN
2025-05-11 0.183922 0.399162 1.017095 3.737651 28.447283 2825.282309 NaN